Những series bài hay về phần mềm phân tích kỹ thuật MetaStock

[1nightdream]

Đây là series những bài nghiên cứu chuyên sâu về phần mềm phân tích kỹ thuật MetaStock

RSI with EMA Strategy
Contributed by Robert W. Colby, CMT

In my 39 years of actual technical research experience, I have tested many of the analytical tools available. (Okay, so in my early years, I was testing different kinds of graph paper, rulers, and pencils). More than 22 years ago, I reviewed more than a dozen technical software programs for PC Magazine, Special Issue, April 15, 1986, Volume 5, Number 7. MetaStock was new then, practically a startup, but it stood out above the rest, and so I selected it as “Editors’ Choice”. 17 years later, I selected MetaStock software again for exclusive use researching for my 820-page book, The Encyclopedia of Technical Market Indicators, Second Edition, McGraw-Hill Publishing, 2003. I selected MetaStock for its wide-range of powerful capabilities, its flexibility, its ease of use, and its affordability.

While doing research for my book, I ran hundreds of optimizations, back tests, and forward tests. Since then, I since have run thousands more. It is my impression that these very powerful tools are widely misunderstood and underutilized by the great majority of investors and traders. In 2005, I gave an interview to TradingMarkets.com where I demonstrated an optimized version of a robust and very popular technical indicator, RSI 3 (buy below 30, sell above 70), combined with a long-term EMA filter of 330 days, for a simple mechanical trading system that offers moderately good performance with no subjective judgment. RSI alone is a relatively weak performer, but the addition of an EMA to filter the trades is the key to greater consistency of results. Which EMA? Optimize over past actual history to find out. The full MetaStock code is shown below. The chart shows the forward tested, real-time simulated performance of this same system applied to the S&P 500 continuous futures contract since January 3, 2007. Since the Buy Long signal on January 3, 2007, this RSI/EMA system is up 8.60%, significantly outperforming Buy & Hold (which is down 12.00%) by 2060 basis points. Of 24 signals, 66.67% were profitable, with 16 winners and 8 losers. See chart for the Cumulative Equity graphed against the raw closing price data.

The purpose of this demonstration is not to recommend any specific trading system. RSI, though very popular, is not the best indicator, and it certainly is possible to develop much better trading systems than the one shown in this example. My purpose is to show that by using powerful analytical software, such as MetaStock, combining common known indicators, optimizing parameters, back testing, and forward testing, it is possible to develop a trading system that can outperform going forward. More power to you!

RSI/EMA System Code

Enter long:
(RSI(C,opt1)<50-opt2
AND
C>Ref(Mov(C,opt3,E),-1))
AND Year()>2006
Close long:
(RSI(C,opt1)>50+opt2
OR
C<Ref(Mov(C,opt3,E),-1))
AND Year()>2006
Enter short:
(RSI(C,opt1)>50+opt2
AND
C<Ref(Mov(C,opt3,E),-1))
AND Year()>2006
Close short:
(RSI(C,opt1)<50-opt2
OR
C>Ref(Mov(C,opt3,E),-1))
AND Year()>2006
OPT1
Range: From 3 to 3 by 1
Current value: 3
OPT2
Range: From 20 to 20 by 1
Current value: 20
OPT3
Range: From 330 to 330 by 1
Current value: 330
Initial equity - 1424.8
Positions - Long and short
Entry trade price - Close
Entry trade delay - 0
Exit trade price - Close
Exit trade delay - 0
Entry commission - 0%
Exit commission - 0%
Interest rate - 0%
Margin req. - 100%

How can I run an Exploration to find Relative Strength Comparative values?

To construct a Comparative Relative Strength Exploration in MetaStock, please use the following steps below for your version of MetaStock:



MetaStock 8 – 10.1

With the newer versions of MetaStock this can now be done with the Security Data Function.

To construct a Comparative Relative Strength Exploration in MetaStock for Windows version 8.01 perform the following steps (This example will reference online data from Reuters DataLink, specifically the S&P 500):
Open the Tools menu
Select the Explorer
Click New
Name it Relative Strength Comparative
Select the Column A tab:
Enter the following formula: C/Security(“ONLINE:.SPX”,C)
Click OK
Run the Exploration
The results are displayed in the exploration report. They can be ranked by selecting the column header.


MetaStock 6.52 – 7.X


In versions of MetaStock for Windows prior to 8.01, this had to be done using the “P” variable and required you to open the chart of the index to be compared against.

To construct a Comparative Relative Strength Exploration in MetaStock for Windows, prior to version 8.01, perform the following steps:
Open the chart for the desired index.
Click to select the price plot (This will place small boxes on the prices to designate that the price has been selected)
Create a custom exploration for the Relative Strength Comparative
Open the Tools menu
Select the Explorer
Click New
Name it Relative Strength Comparative
Select the Column A tab
Enter the following formula; C/P (Note: The P variable references the selected indicator in the active chart which would be the close)
Click OK
Run the Exploration
The results are displayed in the exploration report. They can be ranked by selecting the column header.

The Rahul Mohindar Oscillator

What sets MetaStock apart? Well, succinctly stated from the unbiased perspective of the MetaStock sales team; “a lot”. MetaStock feature after MetaStock feature has become the industry standard. Data, charting, back testing, speed and power of , the Explorer, the Expert Advisor, user defined analytics, 150 indicators and line studies, performance systems, unsurpassed support that is free for life… the list goes on and on. One of the most popular, if not revolutionary, features has been the legendary Rahul Mohindar Oscillator (RMO).

The RMO was developed by the famed trader and CNN and CNBC India analyst Rahul Mohindar. It took Asia by storm and now, as released by MetaStock, has become a worldwide phenomenon.

The RMO uses five indicators to detect the correct overall trends in financial markets. It uses multiple criteria to identify a trading opportunity – and provides rules for getting out of a trade; working across any timeframe for a wide variety of securities including stocks, commodities and FOREX.

No system is “one size fits all” or can claim the merits of a crystal ball but the RMO has been successful for legions of users giving them high levels of confidence in their trades by getting them in with the primary trend while keeping a close eye on the swing in the market and market sentiment.

As one customer told me, “The RMO system is truly a winner…the RMO Buy/Sell signals have been fantastic.”

What sets MetaStock apart? The RMO has been a very powerful tool for many, many users and is exclusive to MetaStock. If you are looking for a little more of a trading edge; check out the RMO in MetaStock 10.

Call (800) 587-8014 if you have questions about how MetaStock will improve your trading odds using the RMO or any of our 26 trading systems and unparalleled tools.

Contributed by Greg Allred

[tradingpro8x]

Đây là series những bài nghiên cứu chuyên sâu về phần mềm phân tích kỹ thuật PTKT MetaStock

January - February 2012 MetaStock Monitor

Mysteries of Trader Tax Status

Contributed by Jim Crimmins

Just because you call yourself a securities trader doesn’t make you one in the eyes of the Internal Revenue Service.

In fact, Uncle Sam is predisposed to consider you merely a hyperactive investor—and thus deny you a more favorable tax status—unless you meet a number of criteria that are frustratingly open to interpretation.

You read that right: the tax code contains no actual definition of trader tax status.

Instead, the IRS has issued guidelines the tax courts have expanded upon with case law, most of which denied tax appeals by traders.

What we’re left with is a blurred image, like a photograph of a trader taken from a speeding car.

According to the IRS, to qualify as a trader:

• You must seek to profit from daily market movements in the prices of securities and not from dividends, interest or capital appreciation;
• Your activity must be substantial, and
• You must carry on the activity with continuity and regularity.

To help determine if you meet these three tests, the IRS considers these qualifiers:

• Typical holding periods for securities bought and sold;
• Frequency and dollar amount of trades during the year;
• Extent to which you pursue trading to produce income for a livelihood, and
• Amount of time you devote to the activity.

Swoosh, right? What is “substantial” activity? “Continuity and regularity?” And what’s an acceptable holding period? Is a week too long? A month?

We know who investors are: They’re our hardworking neighbors who buy securities and hold them for such long-term goals as a college fund or retirement.

Traders, on the other hand, buy and sell securities solely to take advantage of short-term market changes. Your profits come from price swings, not dividends and interests. Since your holding period is brief, often a day at most—hence the term “day trader”—there’s no need to perform due diligence on the companies you trade.

Who cares how the IRS classifies you? You do!

Investors are subject to the 2% threshold for deductible investment expenses — and hence cannot write off most of their expenses—and are limited to a $3,000 capital loss deduction.

But as a trader, you write off 100% of your expenses, and if you elect the mark-to-market accounting option, you can offset all of your losses against your earned income.

Three Steps to Claim and Protect Your Trader Tax Status

Step 1: Prove beyond doubt you are a bona fide trader — that is, you “seek to profit from daily market movements.”

The best way to accomplish this is by showing a pattern of high trading volume and short holding periods. Keep your personal investments well separated from your trading business. The IRS is looking for “earnest intent;” that is, you work diligently to manage transactions, conduct strategy sessions and make frequent trades.

Step 2: Clear the “substantial activity” hurdle.

The hallmarks the feds are looking for here are “frequent, regular and continuous” trading. That means volume. One court case ruled that 330 trades a year was sufficient to warrant trader status. The feds need to know that you approach this as a business, not a hobby. Fail to convince them of that and you’re back in investor-land.

Step 3: Trade with “continuity and regularity.”

If you want trader tax treatment, it only stands to reason that you must actually be in — and remain in — the business of trading.

Here’s where the IRS is looking for a healthy flow of trades, significant dollar amounts, short holding periods — all the signs that you are at least attempting to make a living as a trader.

If you take the summer off or show other gaps in your trading, the IRS will be disinclined to grant you trader status. If you’re a newbie and flame out after nine months, while it seems unfair, the IRS has made it clear: no trader status for you.

Once you obtain trader tax status, you’re not entirely in the clear. Owing to the capricious nature of appellate rulings and the ever - evolving tax code, there are no guarantees the trader status you enjoy today might not be gone tomorrow.

One good way to secure your trader status is to trade under the umbrella of a business. That’s not only where the most lucrative tax advantages reside, but a legal entity such as a general partnership, Limited Liability Company or C corporation sends a strong message to the IRS that yours is an earnest and legitimate business enterprise worthy of trader tax status.

My recommendation is for you to maintain a day timer devoted completely to tracking the amount of time you spend each day on your trading activities. If you are audited by the IRS chances are it will be two or three years after you have filed your taxes. The day timer will service as proof of how many hours you spend each week on your trading activities.

About Jim Crimmins

Jim has become a nationally known speaker on tax strategies, entity structuring, and lifestyle change. He delivers over 30 talks a year throughout America as well as speaking in several chat rooms each month. You can learn more at TradersAccounting.com.

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Support Tip
Why are my candles colored incorrectly?

Contributed by MetaStock Support

The up and down color options in the price properties windows is not based on the same open/close relationship that governs candlesticks. Candlesticks are solid (black) if the open is more than the close and hollow (white) if the open is less than the close. The price bars are colored by the properties window as up if the current close is more than the prior close and down if the current close is less than the prior close. If you want to have candles colored differently, you will need to use an expert with different highlights setup for white and black candles.

You can do this with an Expert Advisor as follows:

1) Start MetaStock.

2) Display a candlestick chart.

3) Click "Tools" and then "Expert Advisor".



4)Click New.



5) Click the Name Tab. Type "Candlestick Color Change" into the Name Field.



6) Click the Highlights Tab. Click New.



7) Type "UP CANDLE" into the name field. Set the color to green. Type "C>O" into the condition field and click OK.



8) Click New again. Type "DOWN CANDLE" into the name field. Set the color to red. Type "C<O" into the condition field and click OK.



9) Click OK and close the Expert Editor menu.



10) Now, you can attach this expert advisor to any Candlestick Chart in MetaStock. Simply right click anywhere on the chart and select Expert Advisor, then Attach.



11) Select the Candlestick Color Change Expert and click OK.



12) Your candlestick chart should display candlesticks in red and green.



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MetaStock Power User Tip
Working with the Commentary in the Expert Advisor

Contributed by Breakaway Training Solutions
Using the Commentary in the Expert Advisor can be a great educational tool. To help you get the most out of it, watch this short 3 minute video for a couple of helpful tips.

http://www.learnmetastock.com/FreeSt...rkingWith.html

For more MetaStock training, make sure to visit us at www.learnmetastock.com or email us at admin@learnmetastock.com.

About Kevin Nelson

Kevin Nelson is the founder of Breakaway Training Solutions, Inc. He has spent the last 17 years becoming an expert on MetaStock software and a serious student of technical while working for MetaStock. Prior to joining MetaStock in 1993, Kevin was a stockbroker for a well-known NYSE firm. In his role as Sales Manager at MetaStock, Kevin interacted extensively with MetaStock customers via phone, webinars, and public appearances. His experiences while working at MetaStock have enabled him to gain a keen understanding of the needs of technical analysts worldwide. While with MetaStock, Mr. Nelson was a featured presenter for four years. During this time, he traveled the U.S. introducing the MetaStock program to thousands of people and teaching them how to use its many features. His easy-to-understand approach is considered by many to be the best in the industry.