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Selling pressure continues

By Colin Twiggs
May 9th, 2011 6:00 a.m. ET (8:00 p.m. AET)

Selling pressure continues to dominate across major markets with the exception of the EU (DAX and CAC-40). The only optimistic note is rising international shipping rates and US transport stocks, reflecting an up-turn in economic activity.
The Baltic Dry Index broke its declining trendline, warning that the long down-trend is ending. Recovery above 1600 would confirm. This would be a positive sign, especially for resources stocks. Over-supply of Cape-size vessels depressed shipping rates despite reduced cruising speeds to conserve fuel (longer voyage times reduce the over-supply). And recent flooding in Queensland Australia slowed coal shipments, placing further downward pressure on rates. Rising rates should therefore indicate robust demand for commodities, particularly iron ore and coal.