foreverchemgio
12-01-2013, 10:37 PM
Nhận định ngày mai nè các bác: Về thị trường chung:http://www.vpbs.com.vn/Charts/HOSERealtimeChart.aspx?w=230&h=150&l=12&t=634936272393868677
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VNIndex phiên 11/1/2012 diễn biến khá kịch tính, đầu phiên, mở cửa ở giá 468.39 điểm và tăng lên 469.16 điểm, một bước tăng lạc quan, khiến mọi người hứng khởi, song đến giữa phiên áp lực bán gia tăng dần và ép thị trường điều chỉnh mạnh về 461.74. Sau giờ nghỉ giải lao, thị trường lại tiếp tục bật mạnh trở lại 467 điểm theo hiệu ứng kì nghỉ lễ và đến cuối phiên thị trường quay trở lại xu hướng điều chỉnh và về mốc 462.69 như đồ thị trên.
Qua phiên giao dịch 11/1/2012 ta có thể thấy, Vnindex mang màu sắc của phiên bull trap để thoát giá cao điển hình, đầu tiên tăng mạnh sau đó giảm mạnh. Tuy nhiên, với sự tham gia đông đảo và lạc quan của nhà đầu tư cộng với tâm lý nghỉ giải lao đã đưa VNIndex bật trở lại nhưng không đủ lực và đã không thành công. Việc Vnindex hai lần khởi nghĩa bất thành cho thấy thị trường đã yếu đi và phù hợp với các nhận định là thị trường đã đi vào xu hướng điều chỉnh ngắn hạn.
Trong hai ngày nghỉ, thị trường sẽ giải lao bằng các tin tốt: bloomberg khuyên đầu tư vào VN 2013[tất nhiên là chưa thể đầu tư ngay trong ngày 14/1 rồi], nghị quyết của CP làm ấm BĐS từ nhà xã hội [tất nhiên chưa thể tác động lên thị trường ngay lập tức vào 14/1 rồi], giá vàng thế giới giảm [song chả thể tác động đến thị trường trong nước được ngay rồi, vàng trong nước đang chênh cả đống], .... toàn là tin nghe có vẻ ngon nhưng chỉ đem lại tâm lý, chả đem lại một xu cụ thể nào cho thị trường cả. Cái này nó gọi là bẫy, tất cả đã tạo nên cái gọi là hiệu ứng kì nghỉ lễ đấy.
Phiên giao dịch 11/1/2012 kết thúc với xu hướng giảm. Sau hai ngày nghỉ lễ, Vnindex sẽ tiếp tục xu hướng giảm này, song do hiệu ứng ngày nghỉ lễ vnindex sẽ tiếp tục xu hướng này một cách thận trọng, và dự đoán vnindex sẽ mở cửa ở mức giá 463.24. Sau đó, tâm lý lạc quan sẽ tiếp tục được duy trì, và VnIndex sẽ thử vượt mốc 467 một lần nữa và sẽ vượt qua mốc thành công. Sau đó, Vnindex sẽ đối mặt 468.74, nhưng trước hết là mốc 467.63 của ngày 15/5/2012. Nếu vượt qua mốc 467.63 thì mốc 468.39 sẽ lại bị chinh phục và chúng ta lại dò đỉnh mới. Nếu không vượt qua, Vnindex mất niềm tin và sẽ bị thủng ngưỡng hỗ trợ 461.74 ở phiên trước và đi vào khoảng trống mà phiên trước để lại và đối mặt với mốc 459.52. Đương nhiên, tâm lý ngày nghỉ lễ lại được đặt vào tình trạng hoài nghi và mốc 459.52 sẽ hỗ trợ thành công cho Vnindex, đương nhiên đóng cửa Vnindex sẽ tăng trong nghi ngại ở mốc 461.65, chính thức khẳng định xu hướng điều chỉnh ngắn hạn đã bắt đầu.
Tóm lại, ngày 14/1/2011 Vnindex sẽ mở cửa ở giá 463.24 tăng lên trong khoảng từ 467.64 đến 468.38 [đây là vùng giá cao nhất mà Vnindex có thể đạt được trong ngày 14/1/2011]. Sau đó, Vnindex sẽ về vùng mốc 459.53 đến 461.64. Sau đó đóng cửa ở mốc 461.63.
Như vậy ta có thể thấy, xu hướng điều chỉnh xuất hiện rất tinh vi mà "mắt thường" k dễ nhìn thấy và chúng ta rất dễ bị ăn "bánh chứng kẹp". Thế nên mọi người hãy thận trọng, tân dung cơ hội bán hàng giá cao ở vùng giá [467.64 đến 468.38] và mua lại ở vùng giá [459.53 đến 461.64] cho những người chơi bán khống :D.
VES: Tập Đoàn Quốc tế ABC vẫn giữ nguyên 13.4% cổ phần
Tình hình VES chắc có gì sáng sủa, ABC vẫn giữ nguyên, đang giá 1 đấy, ăn lồi mồm giống SBS khi thị trường đi trú bão thì siêu penny như SBS, VES, DDM sẽ thành siêu sao.
http://cafef4.vcmedia.vn/20130112_/VES/6months.png (http://cafef4.vcmedia.vn/20130112_/VES/6months.png)
CTCP Tập Đoàn Quốc tế ABC, cổ đông lớn của CTCP Đầu tư và Xây dựng Điện MêCa VNECO (http://finance.vietstock.vn/VNECO-ctcp-du-lich-xanh-nghe-an.htm) (HOSE: VES (http://finance.vietstock.vn/VES-ctcp-dt-xd-dien-meca-vneco.htm)) thông báo đã không thực hiện mua 1 triệu cổ phiếu và bán 1,206,000 cổ phiếu như đăng ký từ 24/05 đến 24/07.
Lý do đơn vị này đưa ra vẫn là mức giá không phù hợp.
Như vậy, tính đến 24/07, Tập Đoàn Quốc tế ABC vẫn giữ nguyên 1,206,000 cổ phiếu VES, tương ứng 13.4% vốn điều lệ.
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VNIndex phiên 11/1/2012 diễn biến khá kịch tính, đầu phiên, mở cửa ở giá 468.39 điểm và tăng lên 469.16 điểm, một bước tăng lạc quan, khiến mọi người hứng khởi, song đến giữa phiên áp lực bán gia tăng dần và ép thị trường điều chỉnh mạnh về 461.74. Sau giờ nghỉ giải lao, thị trường lại tiếp tục bật mạnh trở lại 467 điểm theo hiệu ứng kì nghỉ lễ và đến cuối phiên thị trường quay trở lại xu hướng điều chỉnh và về mốc 462.69 như đồ thị trên.
Qua phiên giao dịch 11/1/2012 ta có thể thấy, Vnindex mang màu sắc của phiên bull trap để thoát giá cao điển hình, đầu tiên tăng mạnh sau đó giảm mạnh. Tuy nhiên, với sự tham gia đông đảo và lạc quan của nhà đầu tư cộng với tâm lý nghỉ giải lao đã đưa VNIndex bật trở lại nhưng không đủ lực và đã không thành công. Việc Vnindex hai lần khởi nghĩa bất thành cho thấy thị trường đã yếu đi và phù hợp với các nhận định là thị trường đã đi vào xu hướng điều chỉnh ngắn hạn.
Trong hai ngày nghỉ, thị trường sẽ giải lao bằng các tin tốt: bloomberg khuyên đầu tư vào VN 2013[tất nhiên là chưa thể đầu tư ngay trong ngày 14/1 rồi], nghị quyết của CP làm ấm BĐS từ nhà xã hội [tất nhiên chưa thể tác động lên thị trường ngay lập tức vào 14/1 rồi], giá vàng thế giới giảm [song chả thể tác động đến thị trường trong nước được ngay rồi, vàng trong nước đang chênh cả đống], .... toàn là tin nghe có vẻ ngon nhưng chỉ đem lại tâm lý, chả đem lại một xu cụ thể nào cho thị trường cả. Cái này nó gọi là bẫy, tất cả đã tạo nên cái gọi là hiệu ứng kì nghỉ lễ đấy.
Phiên giao dịch 11/1/2012 kết thúc với xu hướng giảm. Sau hai ngày nghỉ lễ, Vnindex sẽ tiếp tục xu hướng giảm này, song do hiệu ứng ngày nghỉ lễ vnindex sẽ tiếp tục xu hướng này một cách thận trọng, và dự đoán vnindex sẽ mở cửa ở mức giá 463.24. Sau đó, tâm lý lạc quan sẽ tiếp tục được duy trì, và VnIndex sẽ thử vượt mốc 467 một lần nữa và sẽ vượt qua mốc thành công. Sau đó, Vnindex sẽ đối mặt 468.74, nhưng trước hết là mốc 467.63 của ngày 15/5/2012. Nếu vượt qua mốc 467.63 thì mốc 468.39 sẽ lại bị chinh phục và chúng ta lại dò đỉnh mới. Nếu không vượt qua, Vnindex mất niềm tin và sẽ bị thủng ngưỡng hỗ trợ 461.74 ở phiên trước và đi vào khoảng trống mà phiên trước để lại và đối mặt với mốc 459.52. Đương nhiên, tâm lý ngày nghỉ lễ lại được đặt vào tình trạng hoài nghi và mốc 459.52 sẽ hỗ trợ thành công cho Vnindex, đương nhiên đóng cửa Vnindex sẽ tăng trong nghi ngại ở mốc 461.65, chính thức khẳng định xu hướng điều chỉnh ngắn hạn đã bắt đầu.
Tóm lại, ngày 14/1/2011 Vnindex sẽ mở cửa ở giá 463.24 tăng lên trong khoảng từ 467.64 đến 468.38 [đây là vùng giá cao nhất mà Vnindex có thể đạt được trong ngày 14/1/2011]. Sau đó, Vnindex sẽ về vùng mốc 459.53 đến 461.64. Sau đó đóng cửa ở mốc 461.63.
Như vậy ta có thể thấy, xu hướng điều chỉnh xuất hiện rất tinh vi mà "mắt thường" k dễ nhìn thấy và chúng ta rất dễ bị ăn "bánh chứng kẹp". Thế nên mọi người hãy thận trọng, tân dung cơ hội bán hàng giá cao ở vùng giá [467.64 đến 468.38] và mua lại ở vùng giá [459.53 đến 461.64] cho những người chơi bán khống :D.
VES: Tập Đoàn Quốc tế ABC vẫn giữ nguyên 13.4% cổ phần
Tình hình VES chắc có gì sáng sủa, ABC vẫn giữ nguyên, đang giá 1 đấy, ăn lồi mồm giống SBS khi thị trường đi trú bão thì siêu penny như SBS, VES, DDM sẽ thành siêu sao.
http://cafef4.vcmedia.vn/20130112_/VES/6months.png (http://cafef4.vcmedia.vn/20130112_/VES/6months.png)
CTCP Tập Đoàn Quốc tế ABC, cổ đông lớn của CTCP Đầu tư và Xây dựng Điện MêCa VNECO (http://finance.vietstock.vn/VNECO-ctcp-du-lich-xanh-nghe-an.htm) (HOSE: VES (http://finance.vietstock.vn/VES-ctcp-dt-xd-dien-meca-vneco.htm)) thông báo đã không thực hiện mua 1 triệu cổ phiếu và bán 1,206,000 cổ phiếu như đăng ký từ 24/05 đến 24/07.
Lý do đơn vị này đưa ra vẫn là mức giá không phù hợp.
Như vậy, tính đến 24/07, Tập Đoàn Quốc tế ABC vẫn giữ nguyên 1,206,000 cổ phiếu VES, tương ứng 13.4% vốn điều lệ.